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IREN: mining, cloud revenue, and the questions left open

Research notes on the business mix. The figures reflect the period studied, not today's results.

  • IREN is based in Australia. This note looks at its mining business and emerging AI-cloud revenue.
  • Revenue mix in the period studied
    • Bitcoin mining supplied 97.0% of revenue in the period used for this note.
    • AI cloud supplied 3.0% of revenue in the period studied. The note records 428.0% growth in 2025; recheck the filing and period before using it.
  • Mining economics
    • Sells bitcoin immediately at market price after mined
    • What does a rough solo-mining example show? It is not IREN's reported margin.
      • Negative
      • Current reward for solving a hash in 2025 = 3.125 BTC
      • Bitcoin reward halves every 4 years:
      • Halving YearBlock Reward After Halving
        2009 (launch)50 BTC
        201225 BTC
        201612.5 BTC
        20206.25 BTC
        2024 (April)3.125 BTC ← current
        2028 (expected)1.5625 BTC
    • Bitcoin price = $90K.
    • Total revenue = ~$280K
    • A prior AI-generated estimate put solo-mining costs at $2.42 million. It is unverified and is not an IREN filing figure.
    • Under those rough assumptions, the example loses about $2 million. This is not IREN's reported gross profit.
    • Industrial scale changes the economics. This toy example cannot establish IREN's margin.
  • Management
    • Founders are brother (Daniel and William Roberts)
    • The note lists MBA backgrounds. That alone is not a management assessment.
    • Cant find company on glassdoor despite having 257 employees in US
    • Founded 2018